Sam Panayotovich
FOX Sports Betting Analyst
UFC mega-star Conor McGregor took to social media a few weeks ago to announce that he won’t be fighting UFC featherweight champion Ilia Topuria. Instead, he’ll try his hand at boxing again, and he announced it will be against influencer and WWE Superstar Logan Paul, the older brother of influencer and boxer Jake Paul.
Despite the surprise, Jake Paul vs. Conor McGregor is a match that has been churning in the rumor mill for some time, and it got us to thinking: If a Jake Paul-Mike Tyson boxing match broke Netflix, would a bout between the younger Paul and McGregor break the internet?
Paul-McGregor would certainly be more competitive in the ring, it would rile up both fighters’ rabid fan bases and, most importantly, the betting appetite would be an absolute boon for sportsbooks across America.
Well, the fans got their wish. ESPN’s Salvador Rodriguez reported on Monday that the Jake Paul and McGregor fight is now on the table for July, August, or September 2025.
Not too long ago, I wrote a story for FOX Sports about the betting line for Rocky Balboa and Ivan Drago’s mythical Christmas Eve match. We polled a group of bookmakers, bettors and industry experts to price the fight.
Now it’s time to price Paul-McGregor.
Let’s assume it’s a standard 12-round match, with three-minute rounds and 10-ounce gloves. Paul fought at 227 pounds against Tyson and McGregor hovers around 170 these days. So, let’s say they box around 195.
Just typing out the fight parameters gets the juices flowing.
The Paul-Tyson match drew 108 million viewers with a reported $80 million purse. Some experts believe Paul-McGregor has a bigger global impact, which could lead to a potential purse that reaches nine figures when the dust settles.
You can almost hear the money printing.
“It would be the biggest fight possible for boxing,” Westgate SuperBook vice president of race and sports John Murray said from his Las Vegas office.
“Paul -200 [risk $200 to win $100] seems fair,” Murray continued. “That feels like a decent opening price. There’s no reason to go crazy high because there’s always so much McGregor money in these big fights.
“195 pounds is a big weight for McGregor. I don’t know that Conor goes through the grind of a full training camp. He has so much money, and I’m not sure he has the desire anymore. If we’re talking boxing, Paul should probably be favored by more than -200, but people love betting on McGregor.”
It is worth remembering how popular McGregor was at the window leading up to his 2017 fight against undefeated superstar Floyd Mayweather Jr. Even with Mayweather a perfect 49-0, McGregor was a magnet for public money.
And price sensitivity? Pfft. Forget it.
“You couldn’t stop people from betting McGregor,” South Point sportsbook director Chris Andrews recalled. “I was one of the first people to post that fight, and we opened Mayweather -2700. I think it closed at -500.
“I watched the fight [with South Point owner Michael Gaughan]. Those first three rounds, I was a little nervous. One of the guys watching in the room knew boxing and kept saying everything was fine. But it’s not his couple hundred thousand dollars on the line, it’s mine!
“We did pretty good on the fight.”
What would Andrews do with Paul-McGregor?
“Oh God,” he cracked. “I think I would open Paul -225, but I don’t really know. And McGregor has to put on 25 pounds? That’s not all muscle.”
“We don’t dabble in hypotheticals,” Circa Sports director of operations Jeff Benson reminded me. “Given I like you, I’d say Paul would maybe be a slightly bigger favorite than the closing price of Paul-Tyson. This is me also thinking about it for six seconds.”
Jeff Davis, director of risk at Circa, despises hypotheticals more than anybody I’ve ever met, and even he was semi-intrigued by Paul-McGregor.
“To be honest, I don’t know what this price should be off the top of my head,” Davis admitted. “But this fight could actually happen, so I appreciate you not asking me for a ridiculous hypothetical.”
“Maybe Paul -150?” WynnBET senior trader Motoi Pearson guessed. “It helps that McGregor is not a 58-year-old man. That seems important.”
“Tyson was so old,” Rampart Casino sportsbook director Duane Colucci added. “McGregor is a much bigger challenge. On the blind, I say Paul -125 just because of McGregor’s inactivity.”
“I think Paul’s around a -240 favorite,” Golden Nugget executive sportsbook director Tony Miller forecasted. “He’s a bigger puncher. The fight won’t go the distance. McGregor will get all the public love and sharps will lay the price closer to fight time. We’ll probably all be rooting for Paul.”
“Jake Paul -175, Conor McGregor +155,” Westgate SuperBook vice president of risk management Jeff Sherman predicted. “In these exhibition bouts, you tend to see plenty of plus-price support show up.”
Some bettors I know would love Paul at a cheap price.
“The realistic line should be closer to -340,” professional bettor David Woodley argued. “Paul is in his prime, and he’s been boxing for years now. McGregor is also like 5-foot-8 and would have to put on 30 pounds. My head is spinning thinking about that. I would bet the farm on Paul at -200.”
“I think it should be Paul -350,” Vegas oddsmaker and fighting analyst Nick Kalikas said. “Conor in his prime is a different story. Conor’s recent personal battles don’t help. He’s also inactive and a much smaller fighter. Paul has way more boxing experience now, and he’s better conditioned.”
Others would provide McGregor resistance at big numbers.
“I would bet McGregor at 4s for sure, maybe at 3s,” poker superstar Phil Hellmuth said. “Craftiness has to count for something.”
Last but not least, a reality check.
“The fight is not real,” longtime bookmaker Dave Sharapan said. “It’s like the line in Casino. ‘You didn’t see the scam? You didn’t see what was going on?’ Well, I can’t see it. And I would hate to book it. I’d rather see you fight Jake.”
Fair enough, Dave. Fair enough.
Jake Paul -200. Conor McGregor +175.
Sportsbooks were content with Jake Paul’s victory over Mike Tyson.
Multiple shops reported massive support for “The Baddest Man on the Planet” throughout the week of the fight and liability builds fast when there’s a popular underdog involved. Ironically enough, there aren’t many more comfortable positions for a sportsbook than needing a boxing favorite to deliver.
Let’s also not get it twisted: Tyson nostalgia affected the market. Memories of early knockouts from years past lingered in the minds of many and, believe it or not, a Tyson first-round knockout was the most-popular bet at several shops.
The day of the fight, Circa Sports told my FOX Sports teammate Patrick Everson they needed [Paul] “for our lungs, and we’re comfortable with that.”
You could tell almost right away Tyson wouldn’t win.
“Paul’s size, power and consistency were impressive,” professional bettor Brandon Wittmyer said. “He was truly underrated by the betting market. Paul has trained well and really improved over the last six fights or so.
“Paul could’ve been -10000 against Tyson.”
McGregor’s announcement comes just weeks after a civil court jury in Ireland ruled in favor of a woman, Nikita Hand, who said McGregor sexually assaulted her in December 2018.
Sam Panayotovich is a sports betting analyst for FOX Sports and BetQL Network. He previously worked for WGN Radio, NBC Sports and VSiN. Follow him on Twitter @spshoot.
Want great stories delivered right to your inbox? Create or log in to your FOX Sports account, and follow leagues, teams and players to receive a personalized newsletter daily!
Get more from Ultimate Fighting Championship Follow your favorites to get information about games, news and more
Halo, para pengemar slots Pernah mendengar istilah “slot gaco”? jika belum, siap-siap jatuh cinta sama konsep ini. slot demo adalah mesin slot yang selalu kasih kemenangan. Ya, slot-slot ini bisa disebut sebagai jagoannya buat bawa come back hasil. any way, gimana sih caranya jumpain slot gaco yang benar? Tenang Bro, kita bahas santai aja di tempat ini
Permainan tergacor saat sekarang hanya satu berada Indonesia hanya di yang menyediakan return terbaik
Daftarkanlah di:
Informasi mengenai KING SLOT, Segera Daftar Bersama king selot terbaik dan terpercaya no satu di Indonesia. Boleh mendaftar melalui sini king slot serta memberikan hasil kembali yang paling tinggi saat sekarang ini hanyalah KING SLOT paling gacor, gilak dan gaco saat sekarang di Indonesia melalui program return tinggi di kingselot serta pg king slot
luna88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://luna88.biz/
magnum88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://magnum88.live/
mainslot888 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://mainslot888.biz/
margo88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://margo88.biz/
maung888 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://maung888.info/
menang88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://menang88.asia/
mitra777 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://mitra777.biz/
mitra777slot permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://mitra777slot.biz/
msislot88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://msislot88.com/
nonstop888 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://nonstop888.biz/
nonstop888slot permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://nonstop888slot.com/
oxwin777 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://oxwin777.net/
oxwin88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://oxwin88.com/
pahala88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://pahala88.biz/
pan88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://pan88.info/
paris777 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://paris777.asia/
paris777slot permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://paris777slot.biz/
perdana88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://perdana88.biz/
pesiar88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://pesiar88.org/
pesiarbet88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://pesiarbet88.biz/
pesiarbet88slot permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://pesiarbet88slot.net/
planet777slot permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://planet777slot.biz/
populer88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://populer88.info/
psg777 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://psg777.biz/
puas88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://puas88.com/
pulaujudi88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://pulaujudi88.info/
queen88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://queen88.biz/
quiz88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://quiz88.biz/
quiz88slot permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://quiz88slot.com/
ras77 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://ras77.biz/
ras77slot permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://ras77slot.info/
rolex888slot permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://rolex888slot.org/
rusiaslot888 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://rusiaslot888.com/
rute88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://rute88.info/
sabet88slot permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://sabet88slot.com/
sakti88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://sakti88.info/
sakti888 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://sakti888.biz/
sakti888slot permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://sakti888slot.info/
satria88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://satria88.asia/
sawit77 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://sawit77.net/
sayap88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://sayap88.biz/
sensasi77 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://sensasi77.biz/
sensasi77slot permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://sensasi77slot.info/
siap4d permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://siap4d.net/
sinar88slot permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://sinar88slot.info/
sugih88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://sugih88.org/
surga8888 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://surga8888.com/
surga888slot permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://surga888slot.biz/
surya88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://surya88.biz/
surya888 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://surya888.biz/
v888toto permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://v888toto.com/
vegas888slot permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://vegas888slot.asia/
venom88slot permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://venom88slot.org/
wis777 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://wis777.biz/
wis777slot permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://wis777slot.biz/
xuxu88.org permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://xuxu88.org/
zara88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://zara88.info/
zara88slot permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://zara88slot.net/
foya888 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://foya888.com/
dangdut88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://dangdut88.org/
polaris888 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://polaris888.info/
cuan88slot permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://cuan88slot.net/
cuan88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://cuan88.asia/
calon88slot permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://calon88slot.com/
calon88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://calon88.biz/
axiata88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://axiata88.org/
artis77 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://artis77.info/
artis77 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://artis77.biz/
gwin88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://gwin88.org/
santai88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://santai88.org/
dewanaga777 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://dewanaga777.biz/
dewi18 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://dewi18.com/
dewigg88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://dewigg88.com/
dewijoker88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://dewijoker88.asia/
dombatoto88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://dombatoto88.net/
dunia30 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://dunia30.com/
dunia88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://dunia88.biz/
erajp88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://erajp88.com/
fyrewin88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://fyrewin88.com/
gaca88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://gaca88.com/
gacha88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://gacha88.biz/
gacorbet999 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://gacorbet999.net/
gajah88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://gajah88.biz/
gemoyslot88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://gemoyslot88.net/
gencar88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://gencar88.net/
gocap88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://gocap88.biz/
gol888 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://gol888.org/
grandbet888 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://grandbet888.biz/
gudangslot777 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://gudangslot777.net/
gwd88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://gwd88.net/
harapjp88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://harapjp88.com/
himalaya88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://himalaya88.biz/
hondatoto88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://hondatoto88.biz/
ikan88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://ikan88.biz/
imperial888 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://imperial888.biz/
indahjp88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://indahjp88.com/
indobola33 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://indobola33.com/
indomax888 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://indomax888.biz/
indosloter88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://indosloter88.org/
interwin888 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://interwin888.biz/
istana88 permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://istana88.biz/
slot demo gacor permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://kdwapp.com/
akun demo slot gacor permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://kdwapp.com/
akun slot demo gacor permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://kdwapp.com/
akun demo slot pragmatic permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://kdwapp.com/
akun slot demo pragmatic permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://kdwapp.com/
akun slot demo permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://kdwapp.com/
akun demo slot permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://kdwapp.com/
slot demo gacor
akun demo slot gacor
akun slot demo gacor
akun demo slot pragmatic
akun slot demo pragmatic
akun slot demo
akun demo slot
slot demo gacor permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://jebswagstore.com
akun demo slot gacor permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://jebswagstore.com
akun slot demo gacor permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://jebswagstore.com
akun demo slot pragmatic permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://jebswagstore.com
akun slot demo pragmatic permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://jebswagstore.com
akun slot demo permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://jebswagstore.com
akun demo slot permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://jebswagstore.com
slot demo gacor
akun demo slot gacor
akun slot demo gacor
akun demo slot pragmatic
akun slot demo pragmatic
akun slot demo
akun demo slot
slot demo gacor permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://demoslotgacor.pro
akun demo slot gacor permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://demoslotgacor.pro
akun slot demo gacor permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://demoslotgacor.pro
akun demo slot pragmatic permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://demoslotgacor.pro
akun slot demo pragmatic permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://demoslotgacor.pro
akun slot demo permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://demoslotgacor.pro
akun demo slot permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://demoslotgacor.pro
slot demo gacor
akun demo slot gacor
akun slot demo gacor
akun demo slot pragmatic
akun slot demo pragmatic
akun slot demo
akun demo slot
slot demo gacor permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://situsslotterbaru.net
akun demo slot gacor permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://situsslotterbaru.net
akun slot demo gacor permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://situsslotterbaru.net
akun demo slot pragmatic permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://situsslotterbaru.net
akun slot demo pragmatic permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://situsslotterbaru.net
akun slot demo permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://situsslotterbaru.net
akun demo slot permainan paling top dan garansi imbal balik hasil besar bersama https://situsslotterbaru.net
slot demo gacor
akun demo slot gacor
akun slot demo gacor
akun demo slot pragmatic
akun slot demo pragmatic
akun slot demo
akun demo slot
situs slot terbaru
slot terbaru
